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question curationhow to choose questions to forecast onhow to choose questions to forecast on
Description
(from @connachermurphy) (from the 2025-08-03-llm.json question set)
Basically, when one question from a combo question has 7 resolution dates and the other has 8, we ask for forecasts at 8 resolution dates but should only ask for forecasts at 7.
For example, REAINTRATREARAT10Y doesn't have a 7d (2025-08-10) forecast alone, but we request a 7d forecast paired with CBBTCUSD
[
{
"id": [
"CBBTCUSD",
"REAINTRATREARAT10Y"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"CBBTCUSD",
"REAINTRATREARAT10Y"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"CBBTCUSD",
"REAINTRATREARAT10Y"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
-1
]
},
{
"id": [
"CBBTCUSD",
"REAINTRATREARAT10Y"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
-1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT1YE",
"RRPONTSYAWARD"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT1YE",
"RRPONTSYAWARD"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT1YE",
"RRPONTSYAWARD"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
-1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT1YE",
"RRPONTSYAWARD"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
-1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT10Y",
"BAMLH0A2HYB"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT10Y",
"BAMLH0A2HYB"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT10Y",
"BAMLH0A2HYB"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
-1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT10Y",
"BAMLH0A2HYB"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
-1
]
},
{
"id": [
"EXPINF30YR",
"WLODLL"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"EXPINF30YR",
"WLODLL"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"EXPINF30YR",
"WLODLL"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
-1
]
},
{
"id": [
"EXPINF30YR",
"WLODLL"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
-1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT1YE",
"MORTGAGE15US"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT1YE",
"MORTGAGE15US"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT1YE",
"MORTGAGE15US"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
-1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT1YE",
"MORTGAGE15US"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
-1
]
},
{
"id": [
"EXPINF30YR",
"CARACBW027SBOG"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"EXPINF30YR",
"CARACBW027SBOG"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"EXPINF30YR",
"CARACBW027SBOG"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
-1
]
},
{
"id": [
"EXPINF30YR",
"CARACBW027SBOG"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
-1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT10Y",
"BAMLC0A0CM"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT10Y",
"BAMLC0A0CM"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT10Y",
"BAMLC0A0CM"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
1,
-1
]
},
{
"id": [
"REAINTRATREARAT10Y",
"BAMLC0A0CM"
],
"source": "fred",
"resolution_date": "2025-08-10",
"direction": [
-1,
-1
]
}
]Metadata
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question curationhow to choose questions to forecast onhow to choose questions to forecast on